Marske United vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marske United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 1
TRA
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
PON
1 - 1
MAR
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
6 - 0
CON
57%
21%
23%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
3 - 0
BRI
68%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
TRA
59%
20%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BLY
1 - 1
AFC
27%
23%
50%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
GUI
4 - 0
BLY
71%
17%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
2 - 4
BLY
28%
20%
53%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BRA
5 - 2
BLY
69%
19%
12%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
FAR
2 - 0
BLY
67%
18%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |