Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Marsaxlokk FC vs Zrinjski Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ZRI
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 0
HIB
37%
26%
37%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2006 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MAR
1 - 1
BIR
29%
25%
47%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
MSI
3 - 4
MAR
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zrinjski Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2006 |
ZRI
3 - 0
MAR
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2006 |
MOD
3 - 1
ZRI
40%
26%
34%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2006 |
ZRI
2 - 1
ČEL
62%
22%
16%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
SLO
2 - 1
ZRI
29%
27%
44%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ZRI
1 - 1
ZEL
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |