UCL Qualifying First stage Final
Global 1-9
Marsaxlokk FC vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2007 |
SLI
1 - 4
MAR
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MAR
0 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
MSI
0 - 4
MAR
24%
24%
53%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
BIR
2 - 3
MAR
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HIB
2 - 3
MAR
37%
25%
39%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2007 |
SAR
5 - 0
RAD
78%
16%
7%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
LEO
4 - 0
SAR
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2007 |
SAR
2 - 0
SIR
53%
24%
23%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
SLA
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
SAR
4 - 0
MOD
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |