Marsaxlokk FC vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
14%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
7.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
PIE
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
MOS
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
ZAB
0 - 1
MAR
19%
22%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 1
ZAB
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
PIE
0 - 2
SAN
69%
18%
13%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 3
MEL
41%
25%
35%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Dec. 2009 |
SGC
3 - 0
SAN
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -2 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
MQA
43%
24%
33%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | 0 |