Marsaxlokk FC vs St. Georges FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.7%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.9%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
MQA
1 - 1
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
4 - 4
SAN
79%
14%
7%
|
59 | 38 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
VIT
0 - 2
MAR
32%
24%
43%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
MAR
3 - 1
PIE
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
St. Georges FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
SGC
6 - 1
ZAB
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PIE
0 - 1
SGC
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
SGC
1 - 0
MEL
47%
24%
30%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
MOS
1 - 1
SGC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
MQA
2 - 1
SGC
54%
23%
23%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |