Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
19.4%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
GZI
0 - 0
MAR
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
MEL
1 - 3
MAR
36%
28%
37%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
BAL
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
HIB
44%
26%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 3
MAR
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
ZAB
55%
23%
22%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
GZI
1 - 1
NAX
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
MEL
0 - 3
NAX
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2024 |
NAX
0 - 3
SLI
35%
27%
38%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BIR
1 - 0
NAX
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |