Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
SLU
0 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
SLI
40%
24%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VAL
0 - 1
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
GUD
0 - 2
MAR
39%
26%
35%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 3
FLO
29%
24%
48%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 7
SLU
51%
22%
26%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
NAX
1 - 3
SIR
42%
24%
34%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
MOS
3 - 3
NAX
67%
18%
15%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
BIR
3 - 0
NAX
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NAX
0 - 5
MEL
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -2 |