Marsaxlokk FC vs Naxxar Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
PIE
2 - 2
MAR
52%
22%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 0
BIR
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
ZEJ
50%
23%
27%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
GZI
4 - 0
MAR
49%
22%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2013 |
DIN
1 - 3
MAR
28%
23%
49%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Naxxar Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
NAX
5 - 1
ZEJ
67%
19%
15%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
GZI
0 - 2
NAX
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NAX
6 - 0
DIN
79%
14%
8%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIT
2 - 1
NAX
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
LIJ
0 - 1
NAX
50%
25%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |