Marsaxlokk FC vs Kercem Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.8%
14%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
MAR
54%
24%
22%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 4
LIJ
44%
22%
33%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
PAT
1 - 0
MAR
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
SGC
1 - 3
MAR
21%
25%
54%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
MAR
3 - 1
MQA
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Kercem Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
KER
0 - 3
MAR
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
KER
1 - 4
SIR
12%
18%
70%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
KER
2 - 1
FUN
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2019 |
KER
5 - 0
MUN
87%
10%
3%
|
43 | 10 | 33 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
KIR
2 - 3
KER
23%
24%
53%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |