Marsaxlokk FC vs Kalkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
ZUR
0 - 1
MAR
13%
20%
67%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 2
MEL
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
MAR
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 3
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LUQ
0 - 0
MAR
13%
19%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Kalkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
KAL
3 - 1
ZAB
71%
17%
12%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
XGH
0 - 2
KAL
17%
17%
66%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
ZUR
1 - 1
KAL
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2019 |
KAL
3 - 2
MEL
24%
24%
52%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
KAL
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |