Marsaxlokk FC vs Hibernians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.5%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
8º
12º
11º
46
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 0
BIR
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2022 |
GUD
1 - 2
MAR
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 2
SLU
47%
24%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ZEB
0 - 3
MAR
52%
25%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
BAL
34%
26%
41%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
2 - 1
GUD
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SLU
2 - 3
HIB
15%
22%
63%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
ZEB
71%
19%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 2
HIB
23%
25%
52%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 2
GZI
47%
26%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |