Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
1 - 1
MAR
43%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 1
SLI
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
2 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
30%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 4
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
MEL
0 - 5
MAR
45%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SLI
1 - 1
HAM
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2025 |
FLO
0 - 0
HAM
40%
28%
33%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
MOS
0 - 2
HAM
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
BIR
0 - 1
HAM
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
HAM
4 - 0
NAX
44%
26%
31%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |