Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
35.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
QOR
28%
24%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
QOR
29%
24%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
6 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 2
TAR
46%
24%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
5 - 2
MAR
79%
15%
7%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2012 |
MOS
2 - 2
HAM
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
BIR
3 - 1
HAM
68%
19%
13%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
3 - 1
SGC
78%
14%
8%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
HAM
6 - 2
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
SLI
1 - 1
HAM
72%
18%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | +1 |