Marsaxlokk FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
20.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
BAL
3 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
29%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
QOR
3 - 1
MAR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
TAR
2 - 4
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIR
37%
25%
38%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
FLO
4 - 0
MAR
54%
24%
23%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 1
HIB
24%
24%
53%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
HAM
0 - 4
BIR
25%
24%
51%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2011 |
HAM
4 - 2
SLI
22%
26%
52%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOS
0 - 1
HAM
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2011 |
HAM
2 - 3
QOR
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |