Marsaxlokk FC vs Birkirkara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaxlokk FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SLI
1 - 0
MAR
37%
25%
37%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
2 - 0
FLO
65%
20%
15%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VAL
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
HAM
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Birkirkara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 2
VAL
40%
25%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
BIR
1 - 2
SLI
52%
23%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 2
BIR
53%
22%
25%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2008 |
BIR
4 - 0
HAM
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FLO
0 - 2
BIR
29%
25%
45%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | +1 |