Marsaskala vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.4%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-61%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
VIT
1 - 1
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
5 - 2
QOR
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
KIR
0 - 2
MAR
21%
23%
56%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 2
DIN
83%
12%
5%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
XBI
1 - 4
MAR
11%
15%
75%
|
45 | 9 | 36 | +1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 4
SGC
69%
18%
13%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
1 - 1
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
QOR
1 - 1
SAN
24%
22%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
3 - 3
KIR
74%
16%
10%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 2
SAN
8%
15%
77%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |