Marsaskala vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
36.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-55%
+42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsaskala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAR
35%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
KIR
69%
19%
13%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
GHA
4 - 1
MAR
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 3
ZEB
35%
24%
41%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 1
VEN
76%
15%
9%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
MDI
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
5 - 0
MQA
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +3 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SIG
2 - 3
SAN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SAN
0 - 2
MSI
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SIG
1 - 5
SAN
35%
24%
40%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |