Marsala vs Cavese 1919 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.8%
61.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
MAR
55%
23%
22%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
ROC
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GEL
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAA
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -5 |
Matches
Cavese 1919
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 3
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 1
CAV
18%
23%
59%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
CAV
2 - 0
LEO
74%
16%
10%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
CAV
0 - 0
SAR
74%
16%
10%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |