Marsala vs Siracusa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.1%
69.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUV
4 - 3
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
4 - 1
CIT
70%
19%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 2
ACS
34%
26%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
LIC
3 - 0
MAR
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Siracusa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
FRO
0 - 1
SIR
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
1 - 0
VIR
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SIR
3 - 0
ACP
65%
22%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ASA
1 - 0
SIR
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SSB
3 - 2
SIR
35%
28%
37%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |