Marsala vs Scordia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
25.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NFR
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
SIR
11%
20%
69%
|
31 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NUV
4 - 3
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Scordia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 0
REN
27%
24%
49%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 5
SCO
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
SCO
0 - 1
CAV
17%
19%
64%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 3
SCO
72%
16%
11%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +1 |