Marsala vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 0
MAR
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 1
ASD
29%
25%
47%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USC
2 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USC
0 - 2
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
3 - 1
MES
43%
26%
31%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 2
ROC
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ROC
0 - 0
FCS
15%
22%
62%
|
29 | 46 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SSC
3 - 2
ROC
75%
15%
10%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |