Marsala vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
42%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROT
1 - 0
MAR
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 2
GEL
27%
22%
51%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ACI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
27%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 2
MAR
34%
23%
43%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
PAL
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
4 - 1
TUR
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ROC
0 - 1
CIT
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
LOC
0 - 2
ROC
27%
21%
52%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
PPI
1 - 2
ROC
11%
17%
72%
|
33 | 17 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 1
NOC
19%
24%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |