Marsala vs Roccella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
SAR
0 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
15%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
GEL
44%
25%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 3
RAA
26%
24%
50%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -5 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
DTO
2 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 1
MAR
50%
24%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
1 - 1
REN
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIG
0 - 1
ROC
38%
24%
38%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
ROC
2 - 1
CAV
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +2 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
ROC
46%
23%
30%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ROC
3 - 2
SAR
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |