Marsala vs Palmese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
30.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
SCO
1 - 3
MAR
33%
24%
43%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
2 - 2
GRA
40%
24%
36%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
NFR
3 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 4
USV
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
SIR
2 - 2
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
36 | 58 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Palmese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 0
REN
34%
25%
41%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
VIG
1 - 0
PAL
42%
24%
35%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
CAV
22%
24%
54%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
LEO
0 - 0
PAL
56%
21%
22%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PAL
0 - 1
ROC
47%
23%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |