Marsala vs Noto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
46.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGR
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SCO
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 0
REN
37%
25%
38%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VIG
1 - 2
NOT
46%
26%
28%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 3
CAV
24%
25%
51%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
NOT
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
ROC
35%
24%
41%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |