Marsala vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
GEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 2
PAL
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
USC
1 - 4
MAR
44%
24%
33%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 0
TUR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
3 - 1
NOC
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
NOC
0 - 1
MES
64%
21%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
BAR
4 - 0
NOC
81%
15%
4%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
NOC
1 - 0
ROT
81%
13%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |