Marsala vs Nissa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
31.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACP
2 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 1
VAL
46%
25%
30%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACI
1 - 1
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
ASD
36%
27%
37%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
20%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Nissa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NIS
1 - 2
CIT
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUV
0 - 0
NIS
40%
25%
36%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NIS
1 - 1
ACS
64%
21%
15%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
POL
2 - 0
NIS
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
NIS
1 - 1
LIC
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |