Marsala vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
38.9%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCS
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SSC
2 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 1
HYR
44%
26%
31%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
3 - 1
MAR
88%
10%
2%
|
29 | 75 | 46 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
MES
0 - 1
MDR
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
USC
1 - 1
MES
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 0
STO
78%
14%
9%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ACI
3 - 1
MES
61%
22%
17%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
MES
1 - 2
ASD
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |