Marsala vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
50%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 0
POR
53%
23%
25%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
FCI
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2019 |
PIC
2 - 4
MES
72%
18%
10%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
81%
14%
5%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
MES
0 - 0
ROT
82%
11%
6%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MES
1 - 0
USC
55%
21%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |