Marsala vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
ASD
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACP
37%
26%
37%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
VAL
1 - 0
MAR
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACI
48%
26%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
NUV
0 - 2
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MES
3 - 2
ASD
45%
27%
28%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ACP
1 - 1
MES
48%
25%
27%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MES
1 - 1
SER
61%
21%
18%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ACI
0 - 1
MES
36%
28%
36%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |