Marsala vs Lodigiani analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
47.6%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
CRO
2 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
6%
|
34 | 64 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 2
CAT
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 0
MAR
75%
17%
8%
|
34 | 65 | 31 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
MAR
1 - 1
JUS
23%
24%
54%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
VIT
3 - 1
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lodigiani
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
LOD
0 - 0
CAT
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
1 - 0
PAL
28%
27%
45%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
CRO
3 - 0
LOD
75%
16%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 1999 |
LOD
2 - 1
CAT
32%
26%
41%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 1999 |
AVE
2 - 2
LOD
71%
19%
10%
|
45 | 65 | 20 | +1 |