Marsala vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
29.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 2
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
ACI
36%
25%
39%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
LOC
1 - 4
MAR
26%
22%
51%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
TUR
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
GEL
81%
14%
6%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
1 - 6
CCI
60%
20%
20%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
GEL
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
GEL
0 - 1
MES
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |