Marsala vs Igea Virtus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
TUR
0 - 0
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 1
MAR
81%
14%
5%
|
35 | 68 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 1
CCI
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Igea Virtus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
NOC
27%
25%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 0
FCI
67%
18%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 0
POR
31%
24%
46%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
5 - 0
FCI
82%
14%
5%
|
27 | 68 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
FCI
0 - 2
PAL
35%
24%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |