Marsala vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CAT
5 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
0 - 1
AVE
23%
26%
51%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
JUS
0 - 1
MAR
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
27%
25%
48%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
GUA
1 - 3
MAR
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
4 - 0
GIU
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2000 |
LOD
0 - 3
CRO
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
VIT
1 - 0
CRO
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
CRO
3 - 1
CAS
62%
22%
16%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2000 |
ANC
1 - 1
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |