Marsala vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CIT
2 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
STO
2 - 1
MAR
23%
22%
56%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
MDR
59%
21%
20%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
ROC
0 - 1
MAR
36%
25%
39%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
PAL
56%
24%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 0
MDR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
USC
2 - 0
CCI
47%
23%
30%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 1
STO
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
ACI
2 - 1
CCI
64%
19%
17%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CCI
0 - 1
ASD
41%
23%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |