Marsala vs Cittanova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.2%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
32.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 3
MAR
35%
24%
41%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
MES
42%
27%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 0
ROT
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
NOC
36%
26%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cittanova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MES
3 - 5
CCI
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
3 - 2
BAR
11%
21%
68%
|
30 | 68 | 38 | +2 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
ROT
0 - 1
CCI
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CCI
1 - 1
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2018 |
CCI
2 - 2
ASD
35%
23%
42%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |