Marsala vs FC Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
24.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
ACI
0 - 1
MAR
45%
26%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 0
LOC
48%
23%
30%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
FCI
1 - 1
MAR
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 0
TUR
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MAR
1 - 1
BAR
9%
22%
70%
|
30 | 69 | 39 | +1 |
Matches
FC Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
3 - 2
MES
40%
24%
37%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BAR
1 - 0
CIT
82%
14%
5%
|
29 | 68 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CIT
2 - 1
ROT
75%
14%
10%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SAN
0 - 0
CIT
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
ROC
1 - 0
CIT
56%
21%
23%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -1 |