Marsala vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
46.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
USC
2 - 2
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
MAR
1 - 0
MES
34%
27%
39%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ACI
2 - 1
MAR
71%
18%
11%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
0 - 2
FCS
15%
22%
63%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
SSC
2 - 1
MAR
75%
15%
10%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
1 - 0
MDR
55%
22%
23%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
USC
5 - 1
ASD
41%
25%
34%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 1
STO
73%
16%
11%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ASD
2 - 1
ACI
29%
23%
48%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASD
19%
22%
60%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | -2 |