Marsala vs Troina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
GEL
46%
25%
29%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
3 - 2
MAR
35%
26%
40%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
USC
51%
23%
26%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CIT
0 - 2
MAR
31%
23%
46%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Troina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 1
BAR
10%
22%
69%
|
37 | 67 | 30 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 0
ASD
34%
23%
43%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
1 - 0
MES
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2019 |
ASD
0 - 3
ROT
72%
17%
11%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ROC
1 - 1
ASD
31%
23%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |