Marsala vs Agropoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
56.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
MAR
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
SCO
52%
23%
26%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 0
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 1
NFR
24%
22%
54%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
USV
3 - 2
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Agropoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VIG
0 - 3
AGR
39%
27%
34%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
0 - 0
CAV
40%
25%
35%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 1
AGR
33%
23%
44%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
ROC
61%
20%
19%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
SAR
3 - 0
AGR
32%
25%
42%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -3 |