Marsala vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MES
0 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2019 |
BIA
1 - 3
MAR
39%
23%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
ACI
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FCS
1 - 0
MAR
63%
20%
17%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 0
SSC
30%
23%
47%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
ACI
1 - 0
STO
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 3
ACI
31%
26%
43%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ACI
4 - 2
ASD
49%
23%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
USC
0 - 1
ACI
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MES
3 - 0
ACI
46%
23%
31%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -2 |