Marsala vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.3%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
46.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
FIA
2 - 2
MAR
71%
19%
10%
|
36 | 60 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
0 - 1
ANC
13%
22%
65%
|
36 | 68 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
4 - 0
MAR
59%
23%
19%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
MAR
3 - 3
GIU
44%
26%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
BEN
3 - 0
MAR
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 1999 |
VIT
4 - 1
ARZ
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
3 - 1
CAT
64%
22%
14%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1999 |
FIA
0 - 2
ARZ
56%
26%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1999 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAL
33%
31%
36%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
NOC
1 - 1
ARZ
45%
28%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |