Marsa FC vs San Gwann analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+45%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
RAD
0 - 0
MAR
30%
21%
49%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
5 - 0
QOR
46%
23%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2020 |
PIE
4 - 1
MAR
45%
24%
31%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
MAR
4 - 1
NAX
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
SGC
1 - 3
MAR
36%
24%
41%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Gwann
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
SWI
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
QOR
1 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
46%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 0
PIE
50%
24%
26%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
NAX
1 - 2
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SAN
3 - 0
SGC
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |