Marsa FC vs Luqa St. Andrew's analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.6%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
13.1%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
SAI
1 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
ZAB
28%
26%
46%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2024 |
SLU
2 - 0
MAR
46%
23%
31%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 2
ZUR
56%
22%
21%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
MSI
2 - 0
MAR
15%
19%
65%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Luqa St. Andrew's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MSI
0 - 1
LUQ
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
LUQ
4 - 2
TAR
18%
22%
60%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
LUQ
1 - 2
SWI
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2024 |
PIE
1 - 0
LUQ
75%
15%
10%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2023 |
LUQ
2 - 2
SAI
48%
24%
28%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |