Marsa FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
59.2%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2015 |
MEL
3 - 2
MAR
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 1
SEN
34%
23%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
XGH
2 - 8
MAR
64%
19%
17%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 2
GHA
33%
23%
44%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
MAR
3 - 1
GHA
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
HAM
4 - 1
DIN
82%
12%
6%
|
47 | 33 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
SIG
2 - 1
HAM
23%
22%
55%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HAM
6 - 1
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 0
HAM
46%
23%
31%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
ZEJ
1 - 0
HAM
15%
19%
66%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |