Marsa FC vs Hamrun Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marsa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
FLO
5 - 1
MAR
62%
21%
18%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
5 - 1
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 0
FLO
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2003 |
MOS
0 - 1
MAR
44%
24%
32%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hamrun Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 0
MOS
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
0 - 0
FLO
39%
26%
35%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
HAM
1 - 1
MAR
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
HAM
3 - 1
MOS
56%
23%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
FLO
1 - 1
HAM
61%
22%
18%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | +1 |