Marquense vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
40%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
SOL
2 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
20%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
4 - 0
PUE
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
LEO
1 - 0
COA
35%
25%
39%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2022 |
QUI
1 - 1
LEO
41%
29%
30%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
4 - 1
LEO
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 3
QUI
67%
20%
13%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
SJF
2 - 2
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
45%
26%
29%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
0 - 2
NUE
45%
24%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
CAT
1 - 0
NUE
40%
24%
36%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -1 |