Marquense vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 0
XIN
32%
26%
42%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
QUI
2 - 2
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SOL
3 - 1
LEO
32%
26%
42%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 0
CHI
53%
25%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
LEO
0 - 1
SPD
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
NUE
4 - 0
QUI
42%
25%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
CHI
1 - 2
NUE
44%
26%
30%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
VEN
1 - 1
NUE
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2020 |
NUE
1 - 1
XIN
30%
24%
46%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |