Marquense vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+38%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
SPD
0 - 0
LEO
57%
24%
19%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
REU
2 - 1
LEO
33%
26%
42%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LEO
1 - 0
SLC
39%
28%
33%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
QUI
1 - 1
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
SOL
1 - 2
LEO
42%
25%
33%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
4 - 2
REU
51%
23%
26%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
QUI
0 - 1
NUE
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NUE
2 - 0
SOL
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CHI
3 - 1
NUE
46%
25%
30%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2019 |
NUE
1 - 0
SPD
30%
25%
45%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |