Marquense vs Nueva Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SOL
2 - 0
LEO
23%
26%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
2 - 0
AYU
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
1 - 0
ROS
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2018 |
AYU
2 - 1
LEO
21%
24%
56%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SPD
1 - 0
LEO
20%
26%
54%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nueva Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 1
QUI
39%
25%
37%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
VEN
3 - 1
NUE
80%
14%
7%
|
42 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SOL
3 - 1
NUE
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | -3 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
NUE
3 - 0
ROS
38%
24%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NUE
0 - 0
DEP
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -1 |